WPF advises caution over proposed state budget

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Wisconsin’s state budget is under review as Gov.Tony Evers proposes significant spending increases for the 2025-27 biennium, according to the Wisconsin Policy Forum’s latest budget brief. The brief highlights both the strengths and potential challenges of the proposed budget.​

As of early 2025, Wisconsin’s financial health appears robust, with low unemployment and a general fund balance exceeding $4 billion. However, projections indicate that current spending surpasses revenue intake, leading to a gradual decline in budget reserves. Both the Democratic governor and the Republican-led Legislature have introduced tax and spending plans that could further deplete these reserves, potentially resulting in future budget shortfalls.​

Evers’ budget outlines a historic increase in state spending. General purpose revenue (GPR) appropriations are set to reach $25.49 billion for the fiscal year ending June 2026, marking a 19.2% rise from the previous year. Total expenditures across all state funds are projected to grow by $9.92 billion in 2026, culminating in $59.6 billion by 2027 — a 20.3% increase over two years.​

Notable initiatives include a $500 million plan to modernize the state prison system, which involves closing the Green Bay Correctional Institution and repurposing other facilities. Additionally, $480 million is earmarked to reinstate the Child Care Counts program, aiming to enhance access to affordable child care and improve service quality. A one-time expenditure of $400 million is proposed for grants to expand high-speed broadband in underserved areas.​

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To fund these initiatives, the plan proposes reducing the state’s general fund balance from nearly $4.3 billion to $646 million, while maintaining approximately $2 billion in the rainy day fund. The budget also suggests increasing state taxes by over $2 billion across two years, alongside $1 billion in measures to mitigate local property taxes. If implemented, this could result in a two-year structural deficit of about $4 billion, potentially complicating the balancing of the 2027-29 budget, even if the economy remains stable.​

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